The recent weekly bulletin from the Mato-Grossense Institute of Agricultural Economics (Imea) provided insights into global soybean production and demand for the 2023/2024 harvest, based on data released by the United States Department of Agriculture (USDA).
According to the report, the USDA adjusted global soybean production downward by 0.34% compared to the previous month, estimating it at 396.85 million tons. Concurrently, demand was projected at 381.90 million tons, showing a decline of 0.34% compared to the previous period.
A noteworthy aspect of the USDA data was the substantial involvement of South American countries in global supply, accounting for 55.96% of world production, totaling 222.07 million tons. Despite Brazil, the largest regional producer, grappling with climate challenges in the 2023/2024 harvest, the supply received a boost due to increased production estimates in Uruguay, Argentina, and Paraguay. These countries witnessed production increases of 314.29%, 100.00%, and 2.49%, respectively, compared to the previous harvest.
The heightened availability of soybeans from South America has exerted considerable pressure on commodity prices in Chicago, consequently affecting domestic markets in supplier countries. The repercussions of these shifts in the 23/24 harvest projections have been observable in price movements and the overall dynamics of the global grain market.
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