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The updated soybean production estimate of 152.2 million tons

Writer's picture: Emily A. VieiraEmily A. Vieira

The Harvest Rally, covering nearly 30 thousand kilometers over 33 days with visits to 125 municipalities, has concluded its assessment of 60% of the soybean stage. This has led to a revised harvest estimate of 152.2 million tons, a 4.7% reduction from the previous year. Brazil's average productivity is now projected at 55.5 bags per hectare, as revised by Agroconsult, the expedition organizer.


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In Mato Grosso, the Rally focused on evaluating crops in various regions, noting the impact of high temperatures and low rainfall on areas planted between September and mid-October. Despite challenges, areas planted in October and November showed better potential. The state's productivity estimate remained at 52.5 bags per hectare, 17.7% below the previous harvest.


Similarly, in Goiás, crops planted in September and early October suffered losses, while those planted from mid-October benefited from December rains, leading to a revised productivity estimate of 59 bags per hectare. Bahia also experienced a revision to 60 bags per hectare, reflecting improved conditions.


Mato Grosso do Sul faced worsened conditions in the south due to hot and dry weather, resulting in a productivity revision to 57.5 bags per hectare. Reductions were also observed in Minas Gerais and São Paulo due to climate-related damages.


Paraná and Rio Grande do Sul saw decreased yields due to drought, with estimates at 58 and 53 bags per hectare, respectively. For MAPITO (Maranhão, Piauí, and Tocantins), there was a slight improvement, with an estimated productivity of 55.5 bags per hectare.


The Rally da Safra technical teams, in the field since January 11th, are currently in eastern Mato Grosso, heading to Tocantins. Seven teams will continue evaluating soybean crops until March 24th, covering 97% of the soybean production area. The Rally coordinator, André Debastiani, emphasized the increased teams and extended travel days to adapt to harvest crucial insights into Brazil's agricultural landscape.

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